Is there a realistic investment decision framework for energy storage technology?
Therefore, in order to provide a more realistic investment decisions framework for energy storage technology, this study develops a sequential investment decision model based on real options theory, which can consider policy, technological innovation, and market uncertainties.
What is the expected value of a second energy storage technology?
The expected value of the first energy storage technology, including the embedded option, is Φ 1 (P). In State (1,2), the second energy storage technology arrives with a Poisson process, and the firm invests in the second technology at the optimal time. The investment opportunity value of the second energy storage technology is F1,2 (P).
Is there a real option model for energy storage sequential investment decision?
Propose a real options model for energy storage sequential investment decision. Policy adjustment frequency and subsidy adjustment magnitude are considered. Technological innovation level can offset adverse effects of policy uncertainty. Current investment in energy storage technology without high economics in China.
How to choose the best energy storage investment scheme?
By solving for the investment threshold and investment opportunity value under various uncertainties and different strategies, the optimal investment scheme can be obtained. Finally, to verify the validity of the model, it is applied to investment decisions for energy storage participation in China's peaking auxiliary service market.
What is the value of energy storage technology?
Specifically, with an expected growth rate of 0, when the volatility rises from 0.1 to 0.2, the critical value of the investment in energy storage technology rises from 0. USD/kWh to 0. USD/kWh, which is more pronounced. In addition, the value of the investment option also rises from 72.8 USD to 147.7 USD, which is also more apparent.
What is the investment opportunity value of the second energy storage technology?
The investment opportunity value of the second energy storage technology is F1,2 (P). In State 2, the firm operates the second technology, which is adopted at time τ2, and the expected value of this energy storage technology is Φ 2 (P). Fig. 1. Single investment strategy under the deterministic policy. Fig. 2.
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